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Google to Sell Five to Six Million Nexus Ones in 2010

Now that Google’s Nexus One “superphone” has officially launched, along with the far more interesting carrier-independent smartphone store through which it is being sold, what kind of sales can we expect?

In a note to clients this morning, Barclays Capital analyst Doug Anmuth hazards a guess: Five to six million units sold in 2010, based on distribution through T-Mobile at launch and Verizon Wireless (VZ) by spring.

That’s quite a number, considering that Motorola’s (MOT) 2010 global smartphone shipments are expected to be somewhere around 13 million units. And, according to Anmuth, Nexus One sales should allow Google (GOOG) to book incremental revenue of $2.6 billion–$3.2 billion. Not bad for a first retail effort from a company that’s not exactly known for retailing. After all, cellphones are not an easy business to get into.

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