Worldwide IT spending on pace to decline 6% in 2009, says Gartner
Worldwide IT spending is on pace to total US$3.2 trillion in 2009, a 6% decline from 2008 spending of US$3.4 trillion, according to Gartner. Continued weak IT spending because of the economic situation combined with the effect of exchange rate movements has resulted in Gartner lowering its 2009 forecast from its first-quarter 2009 projection. In March, Gartner forecast 2009 IT spending to decline 3.8%.
"While the global economic downturn shows signs of easing, this year IT budgets are still being cut and consumers will need a lot more persuading before they can feel confident enough to loosen their purse strings," said Richard Gordon, research vice president and head of global forecasting at Gartner.
"The forecast decline in spending growth for the hardware and software segments in 2009 has almost stabilized, and only minor downward revisions have been made to these forecasts this quarter," Gordon said. "However, the full impact of the global recession on the IT services and telecommunications sectors is still emerging, and forecast growth in these areas has been further reduced significantly. Moreover, the rise in the value of the US dollar against most currencies in recent months will have a material downward impact on 2009 IT spending growth, which by convention we report based on US dollars."
All four major segments of IT – hardware, software, IT services and telecommunications – will experience declining revenues, something that did not happen in the 2001 downturn, said Gartner. The computing hardware segment will experience the steepest decline in 2009, with spending projected to decline 16.3%. The software segment will show the slightest decrease, with spending forecast to drop 1.6%.
Gartner: Worldwide IT spending forecast, 2008-2010 (US$b)
Year
2008
2009
2010
Computing Hardware
379.5
317.8
317.7
Y/Y
2.5%
(16.3%)
0%
Software
221.9
218.3
225.3
Y/Y
10.3%
(1.6%)
3.2%
IT Services
805.9
761
784
Y/Y
8.2%
(5.6%)
3%
Telecom
1,945.2
1,855.9
1,898.7
Y/Y
5.7%
(4.6%)
2.3%
All
3,352.5
3,152.9
3,225.7
Y/Y
6.2%
(6.0%)
2.3%
"While the global economic downturn shows signs of easing, this year IT budgets are still being cut and consumers will need a lot more persuading before they can feel confident enough to loosen their purse strings," said Richard Gordon, research vice president and head of global forecasting at Gartner.
"The forecast decline in spending growth for the hardware and software segments in 2009 has almost stabilized, and only minor downward revisions have been made to these forecasts this quarter," Gordon said. "However, the full impact of the global recession on the IT services and telecommunications sectors is still emerging, and forecast growth in these areas has been further reduced significantly. Moreover, the rise in the value of the US dollar against most currencies in recent months will have a material downward impact on 2009 IT spending growth, which by convention we report based on US dollars."
All four major segments of IT – hardware, software, IT services and telecommunications – will experience declining revenues, something that did not happen in the 2001 downturn, said Gartner. The computing hardware segment will experience the steepest decline in 2009, with spending projected to decline 16.3%. The software segment will show the slightest decrease, with spending forecast to drop 1.6%.
Gartner: Worldwide IT spending forecast, 2008-2010 (US$b)
Year
2008
2009
2010
Computing Hardware
379.5
317.8
317.7
Y/Y
2.5%
(16.3%)
0%
Software
221.9
218.3
225.3
Y/Y
10.3%
(1.6%)
3.2%
IT Services
805.9
761
784
Y/Y
8.2%
(5.6%)
3%
Telecom
1,945.2
1,855.9
1,898.7
Y/Y
5.7%
(4.6%)
2.3%
All
3,352.5
3,152.9
3,225.7
Y/Y
6.2%
(6.0%)
2.3%
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